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Archive for 2008 年 03 月

NeoCon on Taiwan’s election

Written by John R. Bolton a former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.

Bolton on Ma’s victory

Ma’s strong support for closer economic ties with China reflects the widely held expectation that such ties will improve Taiwan’s economic position. Moreover, in pursuit of those ties, he will downplay Taiwan’s political challenge to China, not because, as many Europeans and Americans mistakenly believe, he ultimately seeks to lay the basis for reunification, but because he believes that enhancing Taiwan’s economic strength will lead to increased political strength for whatever negotiations come later with China. That is entirely sensible. An economically weaker Taiwan is hardly well-positioned to stand up to the rapidly growing Chinese economy.

On recognizing Taiwan as a sovereign state,

Recognition would bring stability and certainty, thus actually lowering the risks that Beijing will misinterpret the U.S. position and threaten or actually commence military action to regain Taiwan. Extending diplomatic recognition would no more prejudice the U.S.’ “one China" policy (itself an exercise in confusion and ambiguity) or the ultimate issue of reunification than did U.S. recognition of the two Germanys during the Cold War.

Read the whole thing (繼續閱讀…)

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I met a couple of politically opinionated people tonight and had intense political discussions. During our conversation about how Taiwanese culture were susceptible to patriarchialism, i made an interesting pitch. I asked, is Taiwanese desire to be recognized by the United Nations a manifestation of Taiwan’s patriarchal trait?

In Taiwan, family with father at its center is perhaps the strongest social institution. parents invest heavily in their children in return for obedience. Political, people respect authority (police, teachers and government) and looks to the government to solve their problems. Is Taiwan’s desperate desire to be accepted as a member of the United Nations an extension of that culture trait? Are the Taiwanese trying to be an accepted child to the international father figure? (繼續閱讀…)

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From Pew‘s latest survey of Chinese opinion regarding Internet control

Since 2005, the percentage of users who say that online content about “politics" should be controlled or managed jumped from 8% to 41%, by far the biggest increase of any items tested.

If this is true, wow. The Communist Party is doing a great job controlling public sentiment.

Read the whole survey article.

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Political Compass

Try this site: http://www.politicalcompass.org/

and do the test see where you are on the political compass.

Here is my result: (繼續閱讀…)

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At first glance on this issue, it seems to be a dilemma situation.  I don’t have solid stance against or for this policy. However, I would like to provide some opinions on it.

First of all, it is widely agreed by liberalism that one reason for a government  intervention in the market is the existence of externality, which means the costs or benefits of an action are not completely born by the actor. Bankrupcy of Bear Stearns is believed to have such effect in the economy. Because a lot of companies trust their assets to Bear Stearns to make investment, they are all vulnerable to the bankrupcy of Bear Stearns. Furthermore, many companies are so financially related that a chain reaction may be so triggered as to lead to a financial crisis in economy. (繼續閱讀…)

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Herein I try to show more technically that rational candidates are inclined to mobilize supporters to vote. Assume that election is a game with 2 players (candidateI, candidateII). Each has 2 strategies (to Mobilize supporters to vote, Not to mobilize supporters to vote) to choose from. The outcomes of the game are characterized by the winning probability of candidateI.  (繼續閱讀…)

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After comtemplating on Neouto’s post about why rational people vote, I would like to give out some opinions, though I am not sure if it is logically convincing enough. I try to explain voting is a rational decision from the point of view of game thoery. (繼續閱讀…)

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